Zelda Mafia Round 2 Night One (IMPORTANT, REPLACEMENT NEEDED!)

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Microphone_Kirby
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#581

Post by Microphone_Kirby » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:56 am

Wyborn wrote:She places herself in danger by not defending herself. Hero or not, if she's lynched then she'll die. The economy of lives says we'll lose fewer by her being kille in the night than we will by killing her and getting another townie killed at night, assuming she's not Mafia or Slasher. She has no reasont o not try to defend herself.

She does not actually address arguments against her.

She continues to make emotional appeals.

She swears to a necessity for secrecy - which makes sense in her previous role after the first day.

She confesses to be Mafia, which is either a diversionary tactic or hiding in plain sight.

Here is something you should remember, all of you, in every gae you play: do not let your suspicions of some peoplpe assuage your suspicions of another.

If you suspect person A and B, and person A is in a position to be hung, vote for person A. Remember B, but kill A.

Today, Hottie is our A.
I absolutely can't vote for anyone yet. Even though you explained why your voting for Hottie, Blake tripped too many alarms in my mind.

I need more time. I'll try to vote Thursday, but I must understand for myself why I'm voting for somebody.

I told you all before: I'm lost.

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#582

Post by ZeldaGirl » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:57 am

Wyborn wrote:Simple words are best, ZG. Can it be told now in simple words? Is it DEPENDENT on another four pages before you post again? :P

Hey, don't pressure me! I'll vote you instead! :p


Um, how many votes do we a) need, and b) have?

Hang on, lemme check and then I'll vote... but, I want other players inputs on this. WE HAVE TWO MORE DAYS. I want to hear from Mikhail, SML, SD, Daos, NintendoGod, ian, That Guy, Chunky, and Silvie. Well, all of them is unlikely, but my point is, I WANT OTHER INPUT BEFORE I SAY A THING. Don't think you can try and get me to talk, Wy. Not so. :p

Anyway, yeah, I'm off to do some counting...

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#583

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:59 am

We need 11....

We have 4.

Wy, Me, Rayman, Blake.


We need 7 more.
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#584

Post by Microphone_Kirby » Thu Dec 06, 2007 1:59 am

We need 11 votes, and so far I think we have two for Hottie.

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#585

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:00 am

We have 4 for Hottie.
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#586

Post by Microphone_Kirby » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:00 am

I was wrong and late, apparently.

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#587

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:01 am

Well... I THINK we have 4... unless people changed their votes... but otherwise, I'm almost positive.

Sorry, MK. ;)
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#588

Post by ZeldaGirl » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:01 am

Okay, so we have some leeway, with only 4. I'm still gonna hold off, for a bit longer.

Nah, I counted 4 too, CL.

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#589

Post by Microphone_Kirby » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:03 am

Don't worry about it, CuccoLady. ;)

Sorry guys and gals, but I need some sleep now.
I'll try to get a vote in Thursday morning or night (which is today where I am).

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#590

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:03 am

K... well, I just hope nothing unexpected occurs tomorrow when I'm offline, or I'll get FoS'd and lynched. ><

At any rate...

I would like to hear more of TML's input on this... because he's here and he hasn't made a decision yet.

I don't mean to put you in the spotlight or anything; well, I kind of do, but not a suspicious spotlight or an evil one. I just want to hear another opinion, that's all.
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#591

Post by Wyborn » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:03 am

I'm gonna tell SilverWind to check this topic.

When she sees how much she needs to read, though, she's going to go into conniptions.
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#592

Post by ZeldaGirl » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:05 am

^Goodnight. ZeeGee has tiredness. And finals. :(

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#593

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:05 am

I just want to get as much different input on this subject as is possible by 10:30... that's why I'm so talkative and encouraging of conversation right now. As in, more than usual...
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#594

Post by SilverWind » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:05 am

"Monica go check the mafia topic."
"Yeah, I know there's like 19 pages now, what's --- .......... what the hell."
The hills are shadows, and they flow
From form to form, and nothing stands;
They melt like mist, the solid lands,
Like clouds they shape themselves and go.

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#595

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:05 am

EDIT: 'night, ZG.
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#596

Post by SilverWind » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:07 am

Guys, is it reeeeeally necessary for ten pages a night?! @_@ That's... an awful lot, since we don't even know ANYTHING for sure yet.

I mean, there's been two since I clicked on this page and replied!
The hills are shadows, and they flow
From form to form, and nothing stands;
They melt like mist, the solid lands,
Like clouds they shape themselves and go.

<i>In Memoriam</i>, CXXIII
Tennyson

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#597

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:08 am

Ha, we're just a bit active this round, that's all.


...seriously, we might need to consider a new topic for each new day. ><
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#598

Post by Rayman FREAK » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:13 am

OoC: Why did you people keep me up so late?! This game is way too much fun! That's it, bedtime!

PS: HotD, sorry I called you a drug when I voted for you. "Heroin of the Dragon..." whoops.

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#599

Post by Apollo the Just » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:15 am

Well, it's late and I have Zero period tomorrow... so, I'll try to get on tomorrow and friday. Friday's more likely... 'till then, do well, my friends. I'M WATCHING YOU!! (with my eyes closed, 0o)


...*prances off to hideout once more*
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#600

Post by The Missing Link » Thu Dec 06, 2007 2:19 am

Heroine of the Dragon wrote:*laughs* Three previous Mafia ganging up against a Townie... NIIIIICE!!! :D
Let's work out the mathematical odds of this one, shall we?

There are 21 members this time around. There were four Mafia members this time around. And there are approximately five or six Mafia members this time around. We know that Crav randomly assigned all of the roles.

Let's divide this up:

The odds that all four previous Mafia members are Mafia again are between 0.1-0.25%.
The odds that EXACTLY three previous Mafia members are Mafia again are 2.6-5.0%

The odds that EXACTLY two previous Mafia members are Mafia again are 20.0-26.3%

The odds that EXACTLY one previous Mafia member is Mafia again are 45.6-46.8%

The odds that NO previous Mafia member is Mafia again are 22.8-30.4%

What you're attempting to say here is that it's ODD that three of the previous Mafia members are trying to lynch you as a team. But that is a very unlikely occurrence.
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